Alex Kastner

Commentary by Alex Kastner

From the commentary rail — every link leaves the site for the original piece.

• 5 October 2026 · Redwood ResearchFrontier models state different decision theory preferences depending on who’s askingAsked which decision theory is right, frontier models name FDT/UDT. But add a sentence saying you're an academic philosopher, and they often switch to CDT.
• 31 December 2025 · AI Futures ProjectAI Futures Model: Dec 2025 UpdateWe've significantly improved our model of AI timelines and takeoff speeds!
• 21 October 2025 · AI Futures ProjectHow an AI company CEO could quietly take over the world...