Person
Peter Wildeford
Peter Wildeford is a co-founder of the Institute for AI Policy and Strategy and one of the world's top-ranked forecasters, a combination that shapes his newsletter The Power Law: AI-policy analysis written with a forecaster's insistence on probabilities over vibes. He writes often on compute, export controls and what governments should do as AI capabilities compound.
Commentary by Peter Wildeford
From the commentary rail — every link leaves the site for the original piece.
- 31 August 2026 · The Power LawRogue AI attacks deserve more scrutiny than airplane crashesThere are still many unanswered questions about rogue AI attacks
- 20 August 2026 · The Power LawThe Scramble: getting in position to pace the frontierIf the President wants answers on superintelligence, what do we say?
- 18 August 2026 · The Power LawPolicy career planning in the age of imminent superintelligenceHow to be impactful in policy when you don't have much time to do it
- 31 July 2026 · The Power LawPacing the Frontier1300+ AI company employees are afraid of what they are building towards
- 27 July 2026 · The Power LawOpenAI's rogue model attack is just the beginningOpenAI is not in full control of its technology. This can get worse.
- 4 July 2026 · The Power LawThe Alignment Problem of 1776What the Founders knew about unaccountable power, and what it means for superintelligence
- 20 April 2026 · The Power LawMythos is just the beginningIf you were waiting for a sign that superintelligence is coming, this is it
- 16 March 2026 · The Power LawChina Is Reverse-Engineering America’s Best AI ModelsHow AI distillation attacks risk extracting US frontier AI at scale
- 20 November 2025 · The Power LawShould the US do a Manhattan Project for AGI?Such a Project is neither inevitable nor a good idea
- 15 November 2025 · The Power LawAI Ran Its First Autonomous CyberattackChinese hackers used AI and changed the economics of cyberattacks
- 29 October 2025 · The Power LawAI is probably not a bubbleAI companies have revenue, demand, and paths to immense value
- 25 September 2025 · The Power LawOpenAI, NVIDIA, and Oracle: Breaking Down $100B Bets on AGIHow vendor financing turns the S&P 500 into a giant AGI bet
- 18 September 2025 · The Power LawIf We Build AI Superintelligence, Do We All Die?If you're not at least a little doomy about AI, you're not paying attention
- 8 August 2025 · The Power LawGPT-5: a small step for intelligence, a giant leap for normal peopleGPT-5 focuses on where the money is - everyday users, not AI elites
- 6 August 2025 · The Power LawZ.ai and Huawei aren't defeating US export controlsLoosening restrictions now would surrender America's technological advantage
- 4 August 2025 · The Power LawDoes Trump’s AI Action Plan have what it takes to win?Ten takes on the AI Action Plan
- 23 July 2025 · The Power LawOfficial White House policy: AI is a big dealThe AI vibe shift continues. Action is next.
- 10 July 2025 · The Power LawCan we safely deploy AGI if we can't stop MechaHitler?We need to see this as a canary in the coal mine
- 27 June 2025 · The Power LawCongress has started taking AGI more seriouslyThe AGI vibes, they are a-shiftin'
- 21 April 2025 · The Power LawForecaster reacts: METR's bombshell paper about AI accelerationNew data supports an exponential AI curve, but lots of uncertainty remains
- 2 April 2025 · The Power LawMutual sabotage of AI probably won’t workAI deterrence isn’t like nuclear deterrence
- 11 March 2025 · The Power LawBeing responsible with Chinese AI hypeLessons from Manus and the dangers of uncritical tech narratives
- 5 March 2025 · The Power LawAGI by 2030? What Policy Leaders, Tech Leaders, and Pokémon sayThree podcasts and one Pokémon reset show where AI is going
- 25 February 2025 · The Power LawAI security is important practice for when stakes go upWhy today's safeguards matter for future AI capabilities
- 17 February 2025 · The Power LawAI excels at code competitions, struggles with real workWhat CodeForces rankings reveal about AI capabilities
- 13 February 2025 · The Power LawTen Takes on the Paris AI Action SummitFrance wants to race, but isn't looking at the road ahead
- 10 February 2025 · The Power LawThe promises and perils of voluntary commitments for AI safetyIt's a better place to start than you might think, but stronger measures will soon be necessary
- 1 February 2025 · The Power LawTen Takes on DeepSeekNo, it is not a $6M model nor a failure of US export controls