Teaching models to think
The move from prompting a model to reason step by step to training it to spend inference-time compute doing so — the paradigm o1 opened, that DeepSeek's R1 made open, and that reached Olympiad gold.
Where the chatbot race was about breadth, the reasoning race was about depth: getting a model to work through a hard problem in steps rather than answer in one pass. It started as a prompting trick — chain-of-thought prompting showed that asking a model to “think step by step” sharply improved its results on maths and logic — and matured into the ReAct pattern of interleaving thought with action.
The paradigm shift was making reasoning a training objective rather than a prompt. A test-time-compute paper argued that letting a model spend more compute thinking could outperform a larger model answering quickly, and OpenAI’s o1 shipped exactly that: a model trained to produce a long internal chain of thought before replying. DeepSeek’s R1 then reproduced the approach openly and cheaply, and Anthropic’s Claude 3.7 and Gemini 2.5 made extended reasoning a standard frontier feature.
The results climbed fast. Reasoning systems from OpenAI and DeepMind reached gold-medal standard at the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad, and a year later models scored perfect marks. Whether the visible chain of thought is genuine reasoning or an elaborate, legible form of pattern-matching remains contested — but its usefulness, and its cost in inference compute, are not.
Chain-of-thought prompting is described
Asking a model to show its working improved reasoning benchmarks sharply, with no retraining — the seed of the later reasoning models.
Ideas & essays · Benchmarks & progress
Google announces PaLM at 540 billion parameters
Trained on the Pathways system across two TPU v4 pods, it posted large gains on reasoning benchmarks and explained its own jokes.
Models & capabilities · Compute & infrastructure
"Let's think step by step" elicits zero-shot reasoning
A single prompt phrase, with no worked examples, lifted GSM8K accuracy from 10.4% to 40.7% — chain-of-thought without the exemplars.
Ideas & essays · Benchmarks & progress
ReAct paper describes interleaving reasoning and acting in language models
Alternating reasoning traces with actions against external tools, tested on question-answering, fact-checking and simulated shopping and household tasks.
Ideas & essays
Tree of Thoughts adds search to model reasoning
Letting a model branch, evaluate and backtrack over intermediate steps raised Game-of-24 success from 4% to 74% against chain-of-thought.
Ideas & essays · Benchmarks & progress
'Let's Verify Step by Step' introduces process supervision for reasoning
Rewarding each correct step of a solution, not just the final answer, produced a model that solved 78% of a representative subset of the MATH benchmark.
Ideas & essays
FunSearch makes a mathematical discovery with an LLM
Pairing a code-writing model with an automated evaluator produced a genuinely new cap-set construction and improved bin-packing heuristics.
Ideas & essays
DeepSeek publishes DeepSeekMath, introducing GRPO
The 7B model reached 51.7% on the MATH benchmark without external tools, and its GRPO training method later underpinned DeepSeek-R1's reasoning training.
Ideas & essays · Models & capabilities
Scaling test-time compute paper argues extra inference compute can beat bigger models
On some problems, extra inference-time computation matched the gains from a pretrained model roughly 14 times larger, the authors reported.
Ideas & essays · Benchmarks & progress
OpenAI releases o1, trading inference time for reasoning
A model trained to think before answering opened a second scaling axis: spend more compute at inference and accuracy rises.
Models & capabilities · Benchmarks & progress
OpenAI publishes the o1 system card
OpenAI's evaluation found 0.8% of o1-preview responses flagged as deceptive by an automated monitor, and rated the model medium risk for persuasion and CBRN.
Safety & alignment · Models & capabilities
OpenAI o1 results published on ARC-AGI-Pub
o1-preview scored 21% on the public evaluation set, similar to Claude 3.5 Sonnet, but took roughly 70 hours to run 400 tasks against 30 minutes for either non-reasoning model.
Benchmarks & progress
Reports emerge that pre-training gains are slowing
Reuters cited a dozen AI scientists and investors, and quoted Ilya Sutskever saying results from scaling up pre-training had plateaued, pointing instead to inference-time reasoning techniques.
Ideas & essays · Benchmarks & progress
Alibaba releases QwQ-32B-Preview reasoning model
Built on Qwen2.5-32B and released under an Apache 2.0 licence, Alibaba flagged the model could enter circular reasoning loops and mix languages mid-response.
Open weights & ecosystem · Models & capabilities
OpenAI releases GPT-4o updated image and text generation with 12 Days of OpenAI livestreams
Day one of a 12-day run of daily livestreamed announcements paired the full o1 model with a $200-a-month ChatGPT Pro tier offering unlimited access and a higher-compute "o1 pro mode."
Models & capabilities
OpenAI ships o1 and a $200-a-month tier
The full reasoning model arrived with ChatGPT Pro, the first consumer AI subscription priced like enterprise software.
Models & capabilities · Money & business
Google ships Gemini 2.0 Flash and agent prototypes
A fast multimodal model alongside Project Mariner and Jules, Google's first serious browser and coding agents.
Models & capabilities
OpenAI ships o1 model with new developer tools
The full o1 reasoning model reached the API alongside function calling, structured outputs and vision support for developers.
Models & capabilities
Google releases Gemini 2.0 Flash Thinking, its first public reasoning model
The experimental model showed its reasoning steps before answering and debuted first across every Chatbot Arena category, including style-controlled rankings.
Models & capabilities · Benchmarks & progress
o3 posts a breakthrough score on ARC-AGI
A low-compute configuration scored 75.7%, roughly matching the ARC Prize's human-performance threshold, at about $26 per task against roughly $5 for a human solver.
Benchmarks & progress · Models & capabilities
OpenAI announces o3 and opens early access for safety testing
Reported scores included 96.7% on the AIME maths exam and a Codeforces rating in the 99.2nd percentile; OpenAI cited o1's link between reasoning and deception as a reason to delay release.
Models & capabilities · Benchmarks & progress
OpenAI publishes 'Deliberative alignment' research
On OpenAI's own StrongREJECT jailbreak test o1 scored 0.88 against GPT-4o's 0.37, without the method requiring human-written example answers.
Safety & alignment
DeepSeek releases R1, and the market notices
A Chinese lab matched frontier reasoning performance with open weights and a published method, wiping hundreds of billions off US tech stocks a week later.
Open weights & ecosystem · Models & capabilities · Money & business
Moonshot AI releases Kimi K1.5 reasoning model
Moonshot said its RL-trained model matched OpenAI's o1 on multimodal reasoning without Monte Carlo tree search, but it launched the same week as DeepSeek-R1 and drew far less attention.
Models & capabilities · Benchmarks & progress
Hugging Face launches Open-R1 to reproduce DeepSeek-R1
DeepSeek had released R1's weights but not its training data, code or reward design; Hugging Face set out to reconstruct and openly release all three in three stages.
Open weights & ecosystem · Models & capabilities
OpenAI releases o3-mini
It was the first reasoning model OpenAI gave free ChatGPT users, priced at $1.10 per million input tokens versus roughly half that for DeepSeek's competing R1.
Models & capabilities
OpenAI publishes paper on competitive programming with reasoning models
A domain-specialised o1 variant with hand-engineered strategies missed a medal at the 2024 International Olympiad in Informatics; the general-purpose o3 later won gold without contest-specific tuning.
Benchmarks & progress · Models & capabilities
xAI releases Grok-3
xAI reported Grok 3 beating GPT-4o and o3-mini-high on AIME and GPQA using roughly ten times the compute of Grok 2, on figures the company had not independently verified.
Models & capabilities · Benchmarks & progress
Anthropic ships Claude 3.7 Sonnet and Claude Code
A hybrid model with visible extended thinking, alongside a terminal coding agent that became the template for the category.
Models & capabilities
Alibaba releases QwQ-32B (full release)
Alibaba's Qwen team said reinforcement learning let a 32-billion-parameter model reach performance comparable to DeepSeek-R1's 671-billion-parameter model, under an Apache 2.0 licence.
Open weights & ecosystem · Models & capabilities · Benchmarks & progress
Baidu unveils ERNIE 4.5 and reasoning model ERNIE X1, makes ERNIE Bot free
Baidu said ERNIE X1 matched DeepSeek R1's performance at half its price, and moved ERNIE Bot to free access two weeks ahead of its planned schedule.
Models & capabilities
Gemini 2.5 Pro takes the lead on reasoning benchmarks
Google's thinking model topped LMArena and several reasoning evaluations, its strongest competitive position of the period.
Models & capabilities · Benchmarks & progress
ETH Zurich's 'Proof or Bluff?' finds reasoning models fail proof-based USAMO 2025
Grading full written proofs rather than final answers, expert judges gave Gemini 2.5 Pro 24% and every other tested model under 5%, out of a possible 100%.
Benchmarks & progress
Shunyu Yao publishes 'The Second Half', arguing RL environment design now matters more than training
A Princeton researcher and former OpenAI staffer argued the field's bottleneck had shifted from training methods to designing tasks and evaluations that reward real-world usefulness.
Ideas & essays
OpenAI releases o3 and o4-mini
The first models to use tools such as web browsing, Python and image cropping mid-reasoning; OpenAI's system card said neither reached the 'High' risk threshold under its newly revised framework.
Models & capabilities
Anthropic launches Claude Opus 4 and Claude Sonnet 4
Anthropic reported Opus 4 scoring 72.5% on SWE-bench and Sonnet 4 72.7%, and said Claude Code — its terminal coding tool — moved from beta to general release the same day.
Models & capabilities · Safety & alignment
Claude 4 ships under ASL-3 safeguards
Anthropic said it could not rule out that Opus 4 had crossed its threshold for CBRN-weapons assistance, so it added over 100 security measures and output filters as a precaution rather than a confirmed finding.
Safety & alignment · Models & capabilities
DeepSeek releases DeepSeek-R1-0528 update
Released under an MIT licence, the update raised AIME 2025 accuracy from 70% to 87.5% by roughly doubling the average length of the model's reasoning traces.
Open weights & ecosystem · Models & capabilities · Benchmarks & progress
ARC Prize compares reasoning models with no clear winner
ARC-AGI-2 remained unsolved by every system tested, and which model looked best depended entirely on whether accuracy or cost per task was prioritised.
Benchmarks & progress
Google updates Gemini 2.5 Pro preview with improved coding performance
The update, internally labelled 06-05, also led coding benchmarks including Aider Polyglot and performed strongly on Humanity's Last Exam.
Models & capabilities · Benchmarks & progress
Apple researchers question whether reasoning models reason
'The Illusion of Thinking' reported accuracy collapsing past a complexity threshold; critics argued the tests confounded output limits with reasoning.
Ideas & essays · Benchmarks & progress
'The Illusion of the Illusion of Thinking' rebuts Apple's reasoning-collapse paper
Reasoning models solved a 15-disk Tower of Hanoi correctly when asked for a generating function instead of an exhaustive move list, the paper reported.
Ideas & essays · Benchmarks & progress
xAI releases Grok-4
xAI reported 44.4% on Humanity's Last Exam for its multi-agent "Heavy" tier, ahead of Gemini 2.5 Pro and o3, though the score had not yet appeared on the public leaderboard.
Models & capabilities · Benchmarks & progress
OpenAI and DeepMind reach gold-medal standard at the IMO
OpenAI announced its result on X the day the student competition ended, using its own hired graders rather than the IMO's official verification, drawing criticism from Google.
Benchmarks & progress · Models & capabilities
Gemini with Deep Think reaches gold-medal standard at the 2025 IMO
The IMO itself confirmed the 35/42 score, two days after OpenAI's self-graded claim of the same result; DeepMind said it had waited deliberately for that verification.
Models & capabilities · Benchmarks & progress
OpenAI reasoning system wins gold at IOI 2025
The system scored 533 against a gold cutoff of 438, ranking sixth among 330 human contestants — up from the 49th percentile OpenAI managed at the same contest a year earlier.
Benchmarks & progress · Models & capabilities
DeepSeek releases DeepSeek-V3.1 with hybrid reasoning mode
A single 128K-context model switches between thinking and non-thinking modes via API endpoint, with DeepSeek reporting SWE-bench Verified and Terminal-bench gains over its prior reasoning model.
Open weights & ecosystem · Models & capabilities
Gemini Deep Think reaches gold-medal level at ICPC World Finals
Working within the same five-hour limit given to student teams, the model would have placed second overall against the university competitors; OpenAI separately claimed a perfect score.
Benchmarks & progress · Models & capabilities
Anthropic ships Claude Sonnet 4.5
Anthropic reported 77.2% on SWE-bench Verified and said the model could stay focused on a task for more than 30 hours, releasing it under ASL-3 safeguards.
Models & capabilities
Google ships Gemini 3
Gemini 3 Pro reported a 1501 Elo score on LMArena and 91.9% on GPQA Diamond, prompting OpenAI to reportedly declare an internal 'code red' days later.
Models & capabilities · Benchmarks & progress
Anthropic releases Claude Opus 4.5
Priced at $5/$25 per million input/output tokens, roughly a third of Opus 4.1's rate, and Anthropic said it beat Sonnet 4.5's best score using 76% fewer output tokens.
Models & capabilities · Money & business
DeepSeek releases DeepSeek-V3.2 and V3.2-Speciale
DeepSeek said V3.2 reached 'GPT-5 level' general performance, with V3.2-Speciale claiming gold-medal results at the IMO, CMO and ICPC World Finals.
Open weights & ecosystem · Models & capabilities · Benchmarks & progress
OpenAI releases GPT-5.2
Released three weeks after Google's Gemini 3 and following a reported internal OpenAI 'code red,' with a claimed 70.9% win rate against professionals on the GDPval benchmark, up from 38.8% for GPT-5.1.
Models & capabilities
Google makes Gemini 3 Flash the default model across its products
Priced at $0.50/$3.00 per million tokens, Google reported it ran three times faster than Gemini 2.5 Pro while scoring 33.7% on Humanity's Last Exam, against 37.5% for Gemini 3 Pro.
Models & capabilities
Baidu launches ERNIE 5.0, a 2.4-trillion-parameter native multimodal model
Baidu said the mixture-of-experts model activates under 3% of its parameters per query and ranked first among Chinese models, eighth globally, on LMArena's text leaderboard.
Models & capabilities · Benchmarks & progress
Google upgrades Gemini 3 Deep Think to V2
Google reported 48.4% on Humanity's Last Exam without tools, 84.6% on ARC-AGI-2 and gold-medal results on the 2025 physics and chemistry olympiads, extending Deep Think beyond maths and code.
Models & capabilities
OpenAI releases GPT-5.3-Codex-Spark, an ultra-low-latency coding model
Served on Cerebras' Wafer Scale Engine 3 rather than OpenAI's usual infrastructure, the smaller model hit over 1,000 tokens per second — about 15 times the standard Codex model's speed.
Models & capabilities
Anthropic releases Claude Sonnet 4.6
Early testers preferred it to Sonnet 4.5 on coding tasks about 70% of the time, and to the larger Opus 4.5 about 59% of the time, at unchanged Sonnet pricing.
Models & capabilities
Google releases Gemini 3.1 Pro
Google said the model scored 77.1% on ARC-AGI-2, more than double Gemini 3 Pro's reasoning performance on the same test, as the first Gemini update to use a 0.1 version step.
Models & capabilities
OpenAI releases GPT-5.4
OpenAI's first general-purpose model with built-in computer-use, reported scoring 75% on OSWorld-Verified against 47.3% for GPT-5.2 and roughly 72% for human testers.
Models & capabilities
Anthropic releases Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic said Opus 4.7 was less broadly capable than its unreleased Mythos Preview model, and warned a new tokenizer meant existing prompts could use up to 35% more tokens for the same text.
Models & capabilities
Google unveils Gemini 3.5 Flash at I/O 2026, delays Gemini 3.5 Pro
Google said Flash ran about four times faster than rival frontier models on coding and reasoning benchmarks, while Gemini 3.5 Pro was still in internal use and promised for the following month.
Models & capabilities
SpaceXAI releases Grok 4.5
Built on a 1.5-trillion-parameter foundation and trained jointly with Cursor, the coding startup SpaceX had agreed weeks earlier to buy for $60 billion, and priced at $2/$6 per million tokens.
Models & capabilities
OpenAI releases GPT-5.6
Released in three tiers — Sol, Terra and Luna — after a delayed rollout attributed to US government review, with OpenAI billing the flagship as its strongest cybersecurity model yet.
Models & capabilities · Security & misuse
AI models score perfect marks at International Mathematical Olympiad 2026
Only two of the six perfect scores came from official IMO graders; the other four were self-administered and graded by a Claude-based agent rather than human judges.
Benchmarks & progress · Models & capabilities