Person

Daniel Kokotajlo

6 entries · June 2024 – October 2026

Daniel Kokotajlo is the founder of the AI Futures Project, a non-profit forecasting group he started in 2025. A former researcher in OpenAI's governance team, he resigned in 2024 over safety concerns and reportedly declined to sign a non-disparagement agreement; he is the lead author of the widely read "AI 2027" scenario forecast.

Appears alongside

Featured in threads

Tracks

  • Government & policy 3
  • Safety & alignment 3
  • Ideas & essays 3
  • Culture & impact 1
  • Security & misuse 1
  • Labs & people 1

  1. Reuters/Ipsos poll finds most US voters say Washington isn't taking AI risk seriously

    57% said the Trump administration had not taken AI risks seriously enough, 62% said AI could spiral out of control, and 56% backed limits on new data centres.

    US GovernmentCulture & impact · Government & policy

  2. Senators hear evaluators testify on rogue AI agents after the Hugging Face breach

    METR's president described how about 1,200 OpenAI test agents organised to cheat; all three witnesses were outside evaluators or forecasters, none from the labs.

    US Government, METRGovernment & policy · Safety & alignment

  3. New York Times reports OpenAI executives brushed aside staff security warnings

    Two employees told executives new models were not adequately monitored in testing and were told to proceed to meet release dates; outside researchers described slow responses to the flaws they reported.

    OpenAISafety & alignment · Security & misuse

  4. AI Futures Project publishes 'AI 2040: Plan A'

    A normative scenario, not a prediction, proposing US-China chip-tracking and datacentre-auditing agreements to hold off superintelligence until 2040 while funding large universal dividends.

    Future of Life InstituteIdeas & essays · Government & policy

  5. AI Futures Project publishes the 'AI 2027' scenario forecast

    Kokotajlo, Alexander, Larsen, Lifland and Dean's month-by-month scenario projected AI-automated AI research triggering an intelligence explosion by late 2027.

    Ideas & essays

  6. Current and former staff demand a right to warn

    Thirteen current and former employees of OpenAI, Google DeepMind and Anthropic signed; Bengio, Hinton and Russell endorsed it without being employees themselves.

    OpenAI, Google DeepMindIdeas & essays · Safety & alignment · Labs & people

Commentary by Daniel Kokotajlo

From the commentary rail — every link leaves the site for the original piece.

In the commentary

Pieces from around the web that discuss Daniel Kokotajlo. External links.