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Thomas Larsen
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- Government & policy 1
AI Futures Project publishes 'AI 2040: Plan A'
A normative scenario, not a prediction, proposing US-China chip-tracking and datacentre-auditing agreements to hold off superintelligence until 2040 while funding large universal dividends.
Ideas & essays · Government & policy
AI Futures Project publishes the 'AI 2027' scenario forecast
Kokotajlo, Alexander, Larsen, Lifland and Dean's month-by-month scenario projected AI-automated AI research triggering an intelligence explosion by late 2027.
Ideas & essays
Commentary by Thomas Larsen
From the commentary rail — every link leaves the site for the original piece.
- 5 August 2026 · AI Futures ProjectHow to pace the US frontierTentative proposals for domestic AI regulation
- 10 July 2026 · AI Futures ProjectPlan A: Suggestions For Further WorkYesterday we released AI 2040: Plan A, but there’s lots of work left to do.
- 9 July 2026 · AI Futures ProjectAI 2040: Plan AThe least bad plan we currently know of
- 18 July 2025 · AI Futures ProjectWe aren't worried about misalignment as self-fulfilling prophecy...