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Eli Lifland
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- Ideas & essays 2
- Government & policy 1
AI Futures Project publishes 'AI 2040: Plan A'
A normative scenario, not a prediction, proposing US-China chip-tracking and datacentre-auditing agreements to hold off superintelligence until 2040 while funding large universal dividends.
Ideas & essays · Government & policy
AI Futures Project publishes the 'AI 2027' scenario forecast
Kokotajlo, Alexander, Larsen, Lifland and Dean's month-by-month scenario projected AI-automated AI research triggering an intelligence explosion by late 2027.
Ideas & essays
Commentary by Eli Lifland
From the commentary rail — every link leaves the site for the original piece.
- 16 August 2026 · AI Futures ProjectQ2.5 2026 Timelines Update: Uplift and RevenueMore methods for forecasting coding automation
- 5 August 2026 · AI Futures ProjectHow to pace the US frontierTentative proposals for domestic AI regulation
- 9 July 2026 · AI Futures ProjectAI 2040: Plan AThe least bad plan we currently know of
- 2 April 2026 · AI Futures ProjectQ1 2026 Timelines UpdateWe told you we'd be updating in both directions!
- 12 February 2026 · AI Futures ProjectGrading AI 2027’s 2025 PredictionsHow has AI progress compared to AI 2027 thus far?
- 27 January 2026 · AI Futures ProjectClarifying how our AI timelines forecasts have changed since AI 2027Correcting common misunderstandings
- 31 December 2025 · AI Futures ProjectAI Futures Model: Dec 2025 UpdateWe've significantly improved our model of AI timelines and takeoff speeds!
- 18 July 2025 · AI Futures ProjectWe aren't worried about misalignment as self-fulfilling prophecy...
- 28 June 2025 · AI Futures ProjectWhat you can do about AI 2027How to steer toward a positive AGI future
- 19 May 2025 · AI Futures ProjectSlow corporations as an intuition pump for AI R&D automationIf slower employees would be much worse wouldn't automated faster ones be much better?