Person
Scott Alexander
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- Ideas & essays 2
- Government & policy 1
AI Futures Project publishes 'AI 2040: Plan A'
A normative scenario, not a prediction, proposing US-China chip-tracking and datacentre-auditing agreements to hold off superintelligence until 2040 while funding large universal dividends.
Ideas & essays · Government & policy
AI Futures Project publishes the 'AI 2027' scenario forecast
Kokotajlo, Alexander, Larsen, Lifland and Dean's month-by-month scenario projected AI-automated AI research triggering an intelligence explosion by late 2027.
Ideas & essays
Commentary by Scott Alexander
From the commentary rail — every link leaves the site for the original piece.
- 24 July 2025 · AI Futures ProjectAI As Profoundly Abnormal Technology....
- 18 July 2025 · AI Futures ProjectWe aren't worried about misalignment as self-fulfilling prophecy...
- 17 May 2025 · AI Futures ProjectMake The Prompt PublicThe right to know what an AI is doing
- 1 May 2025 · AI Futures ProjectMaking sense of OpenAI's modelsPlus: GPT-5's secret identity
- 24 April 2025 · AI Futures ProjectWhy America WinsIn a word: compute
- 23 April 2025 · AI Futures ProjectAI 2027: Media, Reactions, CriticismWe recognize our supporters and respond to our critics
- 11 April 2025 · AI Futures ProjectBeyond The Last HorizonWhat are time horizons, and how do we use them in our forecast?
In the commentary
Pieces from around the web that discuss Scott Alexander. External links.
- 8 April 2025 · Zvi Mowshowitz · Don't Worry About the VaseAI 2027: Responses
- 7 April 2025 · Zvi Mowshowitz · Don't Worry About the VaseAI 2027: Dwarkesh's Podcast with Daniel Kokotajlo and Scott Alexander
- 10 February 2025 · Zvi Mowshowitz · Don't Worry About the VaseLevels of Friction
- 18 December 2024 · Zvi Mowshowitz · Don't Worry About the VaseA Matter of Taste