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Romeo Dean
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- Ideas & essays 2
- Government & policy 1
AI Futures Project publishes 'AI 2040: Plan A'
A normative scenario, not a prediction, proposing US-China chip-tracking and datacentre-auditing agreements to hold off superintelligence until 2040 while funding large universal dividends.
Ideas & essays · Government & policy
AI Futures Project publishes the 'AI 2027' scenario forecast
Kokotajlo, Alexander, Larsen, Lifland and Dean's month-by-month scenario projected AI-automated AI research triggering an intelligence explosion by late 2027.
Ideas & essays
Commentary by Romeo Dean
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- 5 August 2026 · AI Futures ProjectHow to pace the US frontierTentative proposals for domestic AI regulation
- 9 July 2026 · AI Futures ProjectAI 2040: Plan AThe least bad plan we currently know of
- 19 June 2026 · AI Futures ProjectA forecast of Chinese DUV and EUV photolithography progressWhat we can and can’t learn from ASML.
- 22 October 2025 · Dwarkesh PodcastThoughts on the AI buildoutFab CapEx overhang, 1 GW a week, China privileged in long timelines, and much else
- 1 May 2025 · AI Futures ProjectMaking sense of OpenAI's modelsPlus: GPT-5's secret identity
- 24 April 2025 · AI Futures ProjectWhy America WinsIn a word: compute